On the (ir)relevance of heatwaves in climate change impacts on European agriculture

نویسندگان

چکیده

The Ricardian model is a widely used approach based on cross-sectional regression analysis to estimate climate change impacts agricultural productivity. Up until now, researchers have focused the of gradual changes in temperature and precipitation, even though known encompass also severity frequency extreme weather events. This research investigates impact heatwaves European agriculture, additional average change. Using dataset more than 60,000 farms, study examines whether adding measure for influences its results. We find that minor productivity this moderated by temperature. In colder regions, farm increases with number heatwave days. For warmer land values decrease frequency. Despite moderating effect, marginal effect frequency, i.e. percentage caused one day per year, small comparison increases. Non-marginal effects are found be relevant, but only case increased According our results, farms not expected suffer from mean change, as was claimed several previous studies.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Climatic Change

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0165-0009', '1573-1480']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03438-4